MLB Preview Miami Marlins (28-43) at Baltimore Orioles (19-50) by entity wagering investment company
MLB Preview Miami Marlins (28-43) at Baltimore Orioles (19-50) by entity wagering investment company mkinvestllc. Sunday, June 17 – First Pitch at 1:05 PM EST. Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland.
We preview MLB games and make a final score prediction for many different reasons and our MLB reviews always have some form of handicapping insight built-in. Next on the roster is an interleague match-up between the “Miserable” Miami Marlins taking on the “Bad News” Baltimore Orioles.
The Miami Marlins
The Marlins are 14-22 on the road this season, although they haven’t been the best at home either, showcasing a 14-21 record. The Marlins are also 35-36 with respect to over/under, and 36-35 against the run line. It’s hard not to talk about Miami’s last 9 games, going 1-8 with an eight-game losing streak before last night’s 5-4 victory against the Orioles. The Miami over bet has been good 11 out of the last 16 times after a win. But those have been few and far between so far this year. Long term the Marlins have been a bad bet on the road going 17-35 in their last 52 road games. This being an inter-league game we do find the Marlins winning 7 of their last 8 games when facing a team with a losing record in inter-league play.
The Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles are having a tough year as well, and at some point, the hard questions have to be answered: How long does Buck Showalter get to stick around? Does Machado get traded? If so, when? This is a team that has lost 50 games already this season and is 10-23 in home games. The Orioles are also 28-40 in over/under splits thus far, to compliment a less-than-stellar 24-45 on the run line. We would even ask the question if the 2018 Orioles might be the worst team in their franchise history. As far as inter-league play is concerned, the Orioles have a better long-term record when facing a losing team by going 37-18 in their last 55. However, we find them 5 – 16 in their last 21 inter-league games overall.
Starting Pitching
The Marlins will send Trevor Richards to the mound in search of his second win. The 6’2” righty currently holds a 4.41 ERA over seven games with a WHIP of 1.38. After being a non-roster invitee to the Marlins spring training camp, he was optioned to the New Orleans Baby Cakes on April 27th and recalled by the marlins on June 7th. Over his last three starts, Richards is 1-1 allowing four earned runs over 15.2 innings while allowing nine hits.
His counterpart is the Tulsa, OK native Dylan Bundy. Bundy is 4-7 in 14 games this year, with an ERA of 3.66 over 83.2 innings pitched. In his last three games, Bundy is 1-1 with one no-decision, going six or more innings in each start. His worst of the three was against the Nationals back in May, allowing 3 earned runs over six. His last two starts vs. the Mets and Red Sox (in that order) he allowed zero earned runs, scattering three hits over seven and eight innings respectively.
Prediction: Baltimore 4, Miami 2
Current form has Miami winning 8 of the last 10 games and the last 4 in row. Given the two starting pitchers trends under their last three starts, this looks like it could easily stay under. Laying -1.65 on 19-50 team side play might make anyone feel uncomfortable but looking to the under 8.5 in a game that points in the direction of a 4-2 outcome could be another consideration.